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Brad Sherman Claims Polling Edge Over Howard Berman In Valley Congressional Clash

Categories: Politics
Rep. Sherman Official Portrait.JPG
Rep. Brad Sherman
Brad Sherman -- accountant, robot, statesman -- claimed a wide polling advantage today over Howard Berman in their San Fernando Valley showdown.

Sherman's poll shows him trouncing Berman in a head-to-head runoff in the newly drawn 30th Congressional District:

Sherman 51
Berman 24

But the poll also suggests that Berman won't even make it past the June primary.

Consider the source, as always. But in a three-way primary with Republican Mark Reed, the poll shows Berman finishing third:

Sherman 42
Reed 26
Berman 17

Sherman's consultants seem to be preparing to cast Berman as a creature of Washington who is out of touch with the needs of the San Fernando Valley. The polling memo stresses Sherman's advantage in visibility (47-20) and listening to Valley concerns (48-27).

Sherman has an advantage in that he currently represents half of the new district, while Berman represents only a quarter of it. (The other quarter, roughly, currently belongs to Berman ally Henry Waxman.)

For their part, Berman's folks are likely to challenge Sherman's turnout model. In theory, a contested Republican presidential primary should attract older, more affluent voters to the polls, which could help Berman. (Though the Republican race is likely to be settled before it gets to California.)

Lot's of campaigning yet, but maybe this will renew pressure for Berman to run in the 29th Congressional District. Tony Cardenas is still all alone over there, and he could use a real opponent.

Either way, this could be the last gasp of the fabled Waxman-Berman machine. Or do they have one more in them?
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6 comments
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Apero
Apero

I have been at Shermans town halls and always he comes and listens to all our concerns.  He has my vote in the primary and in the general election. 

Falkenprops
Falkenprops

I have been in Berman's district for years an have only voted for him because he's a democrat. I've run into, and received literature from, Brad Sherman 10 times more often than Berman - just because he seems to blanket the area. Berman seems infatuated with, and defensive about, his Foreign Affairs Membership above all else. Can't wait to vote for Brad Sherman.

Mark Reed
Mark Reed

While Sherman and Berman battle it out to retain their jobs, all of us in the Valley will be fighting to keep our jobs homes families Medicare benefits Social Security Veterans benefits businesses and our futures. The Valley has never seen such high unemployment foreclosures loss of manufacturing and loss of real-estate values. The Valley once had three Veterans facilities and now, it has one, the Sepulveda Veterans Hospital. Most Valley residents are not aware that its existence is in jeopardy. Sherman has given his blessing to the giveaway of 14+ acres to a private developer. The remaining acres could suffer the same fate. Where are our veterans going to go to get their medical services?Sherman and Berman will use smoke and mirrors to distract you from their voting records. While we pay record prices for gas and food, Sherman and Berman both voted down drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, voted to add 2.8 trillion to our Federal deficit, and voted down the Homeland Security budget. Both of them view immigration as a “dog and pony show.” I wonder who the dog is and who the pony is.The Valley is suffering from 17 % + unemployment, home foreclosures and a record loss of businesses. We are all unsure of where our futures are going. Sherman and Berman will wage a multimillion-dollar war to keep their jobs. Who is really paying for this war? This coming election is a two for one - one election, and we can get rid of two of the Valleys’ biggest “tax and spenders,” who are ignoring the needs of their constituents and who are concentrating instead on their own political careers. We need a change and we need it now! Our country was not built by unions, labor, management, Republicans or Democrats. It was built by Americans and the mutual respect we have had for each other’s talents, which have been offered in the building of the greatest nation in the history of the world. The free marketplace has given us the tools to wage a war on poverty for over two hundred years. Every day we fail to acknowledge this, we work to undermine the freedoms we enjoy.I ran against the policies of Sherman last year and I am running again in the West San Fernando Valley. If Berman runs in this district, we can get rid of both of them in one election. Visit my website MarkReedforCongress.com send me an email mark@markreedforcongress.com or contact my office at (818) 353-8777 to join the Mark Reed for Congress team. Together, we can restore the San Fernando Valley and our Country.God bless you and God bless America,Mark Reed

Mark Reed
Mark Reed

While Sherman and Berman battle it out to retain their jobs, all of us in the Valley will be fighting to keep our jobs homes families Medicare benefits Social Security Veterans benefits businesses and our futures. The Valley has never seen such high unemployment foreclosures loss of manufacturing and loss of real-estate values. The Valley once had three Veterans facilities and now, it has one, the Sepulveda Veterans Hospital. Most Valley residents are not aware that its existence is in jeopardy. Sherman has given his blessing to the giveaway of 14+ acres to a private developer. The remaining acres could suffer the same fate. Where are our veterans going to go to get their medical services?Sherman and Berman will use smoke and mirrors to distract you from their voting records. While we pay record prices for gas and food, Sherman and Berman both voted down drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, voted to add 2.8 trillion to our Federal deficit, and voted down the Homeland Security budget. Both of them view immigration as a “dog and pony show.” I wonder who the dog is and who the pony is.The Valley is suffering from 17 % + unemployment, home foreclosures and a record loss of businesses. We are all unsure of where our futures are going. Sherman and Berman will wage a multimillion-dollar war to keep their jobs. Who is really paying for this war? This coming election is a two for one - one election, and we can get rid of two of the Valleys’ biggest “tax and spenders,” who are ignoring the needs of their constituents and who are concentrating instead on their own political careers. We need a change and we need it now! Our country was not built by unions, labor, management, Republicans or Democrats. It was built by Americans and the mutual respect we have had for each other’s talents, which have been offered in the building of the greatest nation in the history of the world. The free marketplace has given us the tools to wage a war on poverty for over two hundred years. Every day we fail to acknowledge this, we work to undermine the freedoms we enjoy.I ran against the policies of Sherman last year and I am running again in the West San Fernando Valley. If Berman runs in this district, we can get rid of both of them in one election. Visit my website MarkReedforCongress.com send me an email mark@markreedforcongress.com or contact my office at (818) 353-8777 to join the Mark Reed for Congress team. Together, we can restore the San Fernando Valley and our Country.God bless you and God bless America,Mark Reed

JanisBerman
JanisBerman

We're not going anywhere  The election isn't until June and then November and we're pacing ourself accordingly.   Slow and constant has always been my husbands style for anyone who knows him.  Filing doesn't even open until next year!

Mark Reed
Mark Reed

While Sherman and Berman battle it out to retain their jobs, all of us in the Valley will be fighting to keep our jobs homes families Medicare benefits Social Security Veterans benefits businesses and our futures. The Valley has never seen such high unemployment foreclosures loss of manufacturing and loss of real-estate values. The Valley once had three Veterans facilities and now, it has one, the Sepulveda Veterans Hospital. Most Valley residents are not aware that its existence is in jeopardy. Sherman has given his blessing to the giveaway of 14+ acres to a private developer. The remaining acres could suffer the same fate. Where are our veterans going to go to get their medical services?Sherman and Berman will use smoke and mirrors to distract you from their voting records. While we pay record prices for gas and food, Sherman and Berman both voted down drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, voted to add 2.8 trillion to our Federal deficit, and voted down the Homeland Security budget. Both of them view immigration as a “dog and pony show.” I wonder who the dog is and who the pony is.The Valley is suffering from 17 % + unemployment, home foreclosures and a record loss of businesses. We are all unsure of where our futures are going. Sherman and Berman will wage a multimillion-dollar war to keep their jobs. Who is really paying for this war? This coming election is a two for one - one election, and we can get rid of two of the Valleys’ biggest “tax and spenders,” who are ignoring the needs of their constituents and who are concentrating instead on their own political careers. We need a change and we need it now! Our country was not built by unions, labor, management, Republicans or Democrats. It was built by Americans and the mutual respect we have had for each other’s talents, which have been offered in the building of the greatest nation in the history of the world. The free marketplace has given us the tools to wage a war on poverty for over two hundred years. Every day we fail to acknowledge this, we work to undermine the freedoms we enjoy.I ran against the policies of Sherman last year and I am running again in the West San Fernando Valley. If Berman runs in this district, we can get rid of both of them in one election. Visit my website MarkReedforCongress.com send me an email mark@markreedforcongress.com or contact my office at (818) 353-8777 to join the Mark Reed for Congress team. Together, we can restore the San Fernando Valley and our Country.God bless you and God bless America,Mark Reed

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