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Austin Beutner Drops Out of Mayor's Race; Controller Wendy Greuel Likely to Benefit

Categories: Politics
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Austin Beutner
Austin Beutner, the former L.A. jobs czar, has dropped out of the race for mayor in 2013, saying he needs to "be engaged with my family in a way which is at odds with the demands of a campaign."

Beutner got out to an early start last year, with the backing of former Mayor Richard Riordan. But he struggled to raise money, and spent $110,000 more than he raised in the second half of 2011.

A first-time candidate, Beutner never got comfortable as a politician. He had a soft-spoken manner, and seemed unwilling to commit to the exhausting demands of running for office. A virtual unknown, Beutner would have had to spend heavily to introduce himself to voters.

His departure seems to work in favor of Controller Wendy Greuel.

Had Beutner stayed in the race, he would likely have picked up support from Republicans and pro-business voters. That support seems more likely to go to Greuel, who represented the San Fernando Valley on the L.A. City Council, than to Councilman Eric Garcetti, the other frontrunner in the race.

Beutner, a former private equity executive, pitched himself as a problem solver, and was at his best when breaking down complex and seemingly intractable governmental problems. His best moment as a candidate came when he released an interactive map that displayed fire response times throughout the city, which drew substantial web traffic.

But he was not as well versed in some of the community political dynamics that make certain issues so intractable. In a campaign speech earlier this year, he faulted the City Council for failing to privatize the city's parking lots -- without acknowledging the outcry from local businesses that made that deal politically difficult. He made similar remarks about the stalled BNSF intermodal facility at the Port of Los Angeles, again without saying how he would navigate around local opposition.

In his statement, Beutner said he would reimburse his donors. His exit leaves only four candidates of any significance in the race: Garcetti, Greuel, Councilwoman Jan Perry and former radio host Kevin James. Supervisor Zev Yaroslavsky has not said whether he intends to run.

Update: And the race for Beutner's endorsement is on. Wendy Greuel is first out of the gate with a flattering statement:
"I want to thank Austin Beutner for his service to our city as First Deputy Mayor and for raising many significant issues as a candidate for Mayor. Austin was a leading voice for more focus on economic development and job growth, helping streamline the permit process and having a lasting impact on how LA attracts and retains businesses. He helped shine a light on the city bureaucracy, uncovering problems and calling for greater transparency. Austin was willing to speak out when he saw waste and inefficiency in government, no matter whose feathers might be ruffled. I wish Austin the best as he moves on to other pursuits. I know he will continue to make important contributions to LA in the years to come."
Update 2: And here's Eric Garcetti's less verbose, but equally effusive, statement:
"Through his nonprofit work, his public service and his candidacy, Austin has elevated the debate around jobs, reform and the need to move every Los Angeles community forward. I know he will continue to contribute a strong voice to the civic discussion and I wish him and his family the best."

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11 comments
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Jerome Dickerson
Jerome Dickerson

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Walter Moore
Walter Moore

Actually, Kevin James is the most likely to benefit.

curiousgeorge
curiousgeorge

Mr. Maddaus,Please respond to the following:

I am confused as to why you believe Beutner's exit will help Wendy Gruel the most.

You stated his republican and pro business support is now up for grabs.

Considering that there is only one republican in the field- Kevin James (not Wendy Greuel), and considering James was already beating Beutner in the polls (causing him to withdraw), would it not behoove you as a journalist to mention that the republican support may very well just go to the only republican candidate in the race?

Beutner was a "declined to state"....  that he was a democrat, and an insider trying to latch on to the outsider appearance.  Now there are three insiders with no claim whatsoever to the outsider status or as a business friendly republican.   

So for me, as a pro-business, fiscally conservative republican, just finding out that Beutner is out of the race, what would I really do? (had I been tricked to thinking he was a republican in the first place)

I'll tell you one thing i don't do...and that's find out Beutner is out and then decide to support Greuel (or any other insider/dem for that matter).  That really wouldn't make any sense at all would it, for ANY REPUBLICAN.

The support goes to Kevin James.  You can sit back and watch it happen, as your journalism becomes more and more a reflection of your own opinion and not the facts. You could always see if the times is hiring, you'd do great.     

Please respond, we are all very eager to hear your side of that argument.  

Thank you 

Gene
Gene

Sure. First thing: Part of my job here is to give a take. You're free to argue with it. I appreciate you forcing me to defend my position. With that out of the way, here it goes. Let's look at the 2005 mayoral primary. In that race, the top five finishers were Democrats. The highest placed Republican, Walter Moore, got 2.8% of the vote. Since Republicans make up more than 2.8% of the city's electorate, it stands to reason that most of them voted for a Democrat -- probably Bob Hertzberg, or James Hahn, or maybe Bernard Parks. Who knows: maybe even Villaraigosa. So: A lot of Republicans -- perhaps not all, but a lot -- are willing to vote for a Democrat who seems to share their values, or seems to be the lesser of all the evils, or whatever. In my judgment, Wendy Greuel is better positioned to be that person this time around than Eric Garcetti is. A lot could change, especially if Caruso or Yaroslavsky jumps in. But as the race stands right now, that's how it looks to me. Thanks again.

curiousgeorge
curiousgeorge

THANK YOU! I appreciate the response and honesty. 1) Looking at the 2009 election rather then 05, Walter Moore received 30% of the vote, while being outraised 15:1, and receiving little to no media (especially in comparison to the media James is already receiving).  The people who voted for him were not only republicans, but those who are fed up with insiders.  If 30% were not going to vote for insiders then, what do you think that level has reached today given LA's current economic environment and culture of corruption.  That is a large voter base in which greuel, perry, and garcetti can't touch2) Why would republicans come out and vote for non republican candidates as you suggested???? Easy- there hasn't been a republican candidate for mayor in 20 years (with all do respect to Walter, who simply didn't get the media and fundraising attention needed, BUT STILL GOT 30% with basically no campaign). Now there is a republican with a serious campaign , getting money, media, and significant polling.   That being said, your argument is correct for past elections because republicans choices have been between way liberal, or "business friendly" dems.  This election in 2013 is what we are talking about.  Today all of those voters do have a republican candidate to seek out, as opposed to voting for the next best thing, where as that was previously the only choice.  And the only one who even appeared to be close to the next best thing just dropped out ...so who in all likelihood does that help?   

curiousgeorge
curiousgeorge

also..."The rest of the field is notable mainly for the difficulty a voter would have differentiating between the candidates. Auditor Wendy Greuel, Councilman Eric Garcetti and Councilwoman Jan Perry all hold elected city offices; all are bunched close together in early polling; and all are ideologically clustered in the moderate-to-liberal band of theDemocratic Party" -la times 

curiousgeorge
curiousgeorge

Gene-

Please see the last two quotations I have posted for you...This is what I was trying to tell you.

curiousgeorge
curiousgeorge

"And yet Beutner's absence means the race now lacks a certain type of candidate — the City Hall critic with genuine civic experience — and creates the opportunity for the remaining candidates to begin defining themselves more clearly.So far, there's not much to work with in that regard. Radiotalk show host Kevin James is the most obvious beneficiary of Beutner's withdrawal, as he had expected to compete with Beutner for the votes of those residents unhappy with the status quo in city government" -LA Times

curiousgeorge
curiousgeorge

"Fernando Guerra, director for the Center for the Study of Los Angeles at Loyola Marymount University, said he doesn't think Beutner's departure significantly alters the dynamics of the race for the top contenders — City Controller Wendy Greuel, City Councilman Eric Garcetti and City Councilwoman Jan Perry — and said it wouldn't have much bearing on the chances of county Supervisor Zev Yaroslavsky, who is also weighing a run.

But Guerra said a fourth candidate, former talk radio personality Kevin James, could see a bump in support from voters seeking a reformer. James is now the only person in the race who is not an elected officeholder."

curiousgeorge
curiousgeorge

Gene-your the man thanks for debating Caruso probably is staying out, and Zev is definitely staying out (try to find out why).  I can't believe that Greuel, Perry, or Garcetti can plausibly appeal to the "anti-status quo protest vote" in anyway.  Your right, they will each try to paint that picture.  Which is why I believe James' candidacy will be so interesting, because he actually can say that he's legitimately in the position that the elected officials are vying for.  The fact is that most voters are aware of the corruption in city hall, the almost imminent insolvency of the city, the high unemployment (higher then the state's and country's), and most importantly, the faces behind all of those backroom deals, gold card desks, politically correct racism, and "I scratch your back you scratch mine" attitude that got us here.  Even for the number of people that don't know this, they certainly will by the time the election comes around.  Garcetti, Greuel, and Perry will be forced through debates, and running each other through the mud, to defend their records...and I don't think they can.    You said typically outsiders don't win..agreed.  What can't be ignored is that your looking at a race where its 1 outsider vs. now 3 of the city's highest level elected officials, who have been in charge for years, in what is the most corrupt city government in the nation.  That fact can't be ignored and it won't be as the race moves forward because the evidence and fingerprints are everywhere.       

Gene
Gene

I think potentially it could help Yaroslavsky or Caruso, if either of them decided to run. I prefer to leave them out of it until they decide they want to get in. The Walter Moore 2009 campaign is an interesting comparison. I think, in that case, you had a sizable protest vote against Villaraigosa, and it had nowhere to go except to Moore. In 2013, two things are different: 1) Villaraigosa's not on the ballot. and 2) To the extent there's an anti-status quo protest vote, the "establishment" candidates can plausibly appeal to it. You see Jan Perry doing that already. You'll see Greuel doing it. And you'll see Garcetti doing it, too. I'm not saying Kevin James is dead in the water. Outsider candidates do win, sometimes. But it certainly helps to have a single, deeply unpalatable establishment candidate to run against (think Trutanich vs. Weiss), and this race doesn't seem to be shaping up like that at the moment.

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