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In California, The Children Aren't Our Future, Apparently

Categories: Demographics

sunset skate Grant Palmer Photography law flickr.JPG
Grant Palmer Photography / Flickr
California, perhaps more than any other American state, used to epitomize the leading edge of global youth culture, from surfing to skateboarding, mixed-martial-arts fighting to lowriding. If kids were doing it, they were doing it here first.

No longer. Maybe.

USC researchers looked at the latest U.S. Census figures recently and came up with some alarming projections:


By the year 2030 children will make up just 21 percent of the state's population while the 75- to 84-year-old cohort will become one of the fastest-growing age groups.

age group growth usc.JPG
USC

It could be a bad combination because old folks need young folks to take care of them. (On the flip-side -- job opportunity!).

A USC statement on its "California's Diminishing Resource: Children," study says:

... The economic role of a child born in 2015 will be nearly twice as important as that of a child born in 1985 ...

So the children aren't our future, huh Whitney?

Dowell Myers, professor of policy and demography and director of the Population Dynamics Research Group at USC actually thinks maybe they'll be more important than ever:

We will be increasingly dependent economically and socially on a smaller number of children. They are more important to the state's future success than ever before.

old guy beach SteveWillard law flickr.JPG
SteveWillard / Flickr

Perhaps the most dire news for all you Latino haters out there is that Latinos already represent the largest group (51.2 percent) of children in California.

The good news for all you Mexican haters out there?

One of the reasons oldsters are taking over and the number of children is shrinking is that our birthrate is going down, immigration is going down and the number of native born people among our kids is booming. USC:

While California historically relied on newcomers from other states and countries for its workforce, that trend is in decline, and the state will increasingly need to rely on the skills and abilities of its native-born children.

What to do? Learn how to change bedpans. It has a stellar future.

[@dennisjromero / djromero@laweekly.com / @LAWeeklyNews]


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9 comments
Valleypinoy
Valleypinoy

You'll see an even larger influx of Filipino/a caregivers and nurses come in and take care of the old folks.  Get used to us!

AwesomeOpossum
AwesomeOpossum

Um, "Mexican haters," "change bedpans," and "oldsters." Classist much? 

Brian J. Arra
Brian J. Arra

CA won't exist in 2030. The Big One will have put CA under the pacific ocean.

Will Gara
Will Gara

The 75-84 year old group may be the fastest growing but they will also be the fastest departing.

Liliana Vasquez-Duran
Liliana Vasquez-Duran

California has the highest wealth and at same time the highest poverty. It is too expensive for families too raise children and buy a home in this State. The state is so business unfriendly and the taxes oye!....

Susan Park
Susan Park

Real estate prices will drop dramatically as aging baby boomers downsize their homes. Lower real estate prices will attract more newcomers.

Bill Gray
Bill Gray

California will eat its young.

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